Commercial real estate market in 2023 slowest in four years
Year-over-year sales totals and dollar volumes in 2023 were near lows last seen in 2019 in the Lower Mainland's commercial real estate market.
There were 1,249 commercial real estate sales in the Lower Mainland in 2023, a 41.7 per cent decrease from the 2,144 sales recorded in 2022, according to data from Commercial Edge, a commercial real estate system operated by Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR).
The total dollar value of commercial real estate sales in the Lower Mainland was $7.3 billion in 2023, a 44.1 per cent decrease from $13 billion in 2022.
“While the 2023 annual figures paint a picture of a dismal year for commercial real estate in the Lower Mainland, more recent quarterly data are suggesting activity is starting to pick up across certain segments, which may indicate the worst is behind us” Andrew Lis, GVR’s Director of Economics and Data Analytics, said.
“With the latest inflation print showing total CPI is now inside the Bank of Canada’s target range of one to three per cent, lower borrowing costs may be just over the horizon, which we expect to help spur more activity in 2024.”
2023 activity by category
Land: There were 370 commercial land sales in 2023, which is a 49 per cent decrease from the 725 land sales in 2022. The dollar value of land sales was $3.6 billion in 2023, a 52 per cent decrease from $7.5 billion in 2022.
Office and Retail: There were 485 office and retail sales in the Lower Mainland in 2023, which is down 40.1 per cent from the 809 sales in 2022. The dollar value of office and retail sales was $1.3 billion in 2023, a 44 per cent decrease from $2.3 billion in 2022.
Industrial: There were 335 industrial land sales in the Lower Mainland in 2023, which is a 35.2 per cent decrease from the 517 sales in 2022. The dollar value of industrial sales was $1.8 billion in 2023, a 3.9 per cent decrease from $1.9 billion in 2022.
Multi-Family: There were 59 multi-family land sales in the Lower Mainland in 2023, which is down 36.6 per cent from 93 sales in 2022. The dollar value of multi-family sales was nearly $600 million in 2023, a 56.8 per cent decrease from $1.4 billion in 2022.